Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.894757 7.970745 9.118583 10.429751 11.881469 13.435092 15.218883
2025-06-29 4.908595 6.280214 7.854270 9.776467 12.041925 14.608520 17.716708
2025-07-06 3.556767 5.030230 6.844597 9.201740 12.139276 15.635119 20.062106
2025-07-13 2.959608 4.573106 6.684563 9.572886 13.338218 17.995533 24.098609
2025-07-20 2.606463 4.361052 6.783587 10.246742 14.933812 20.916073 28.972245
2025-07-27 2.294988 4.144037 6.828892 10.824860 16.417146 23.753816 33.869185
2025-08-03 1.917659 3.755724 6.568925 10.931189 17.242980 25.749322 37.746315
2025-08-10 1.530242 3.274069 6.097124 10.664807 17.500956 26.964089 40.610897
2025-08-17 1.233440 2.883256 5.704968 10.459085 17.801755 28.218396 43.545276
2025-08-24 1.013826 2.584152 5.414846 10.367395 18.239480 29.655991 46.756466
2025-08-31 0.834598 2.322671 5.148786 10.277167 18.654197 31.056176 49.942075
2025-09-07 0.751669 2.242547 5.190974 10.691608 19.861596 33.645603 54.890872
2025-09-14 0.626248 2.044851 4.998538 10.702270 20.451078 35.377557 58.719356
2025-09-21 0.480661 1.758448 4.592370 10.294951 20.331150 36.028492 60.986140
2025-09-28 0.360727 1.495670 4.188296 9.842865 20.094550 36.474230 62.947482
2025-10-05 0.329052 1.468564 4.278470 10.321999 21.459508 39.462099 68.817126
2025-10-12 0.319047 1.504284 4.510895 11.090114 23.357541 43.350619 76.156082
2025-10-19 0.301360 1.511094 4.677291 11.737318 25.068715 46.988969 83.198215
2025-10-26 0.256997 1.415118 4.590764 11.869848 25.869076 49.182362 88.063340
2025-11-02 0.200839 1.253316 4.319190 11.597042 25.918429 50.147234 91.033777
2025-11-09 0.157585 1.118072 4.088870 11.383923 26.055788 51.248774 94.232805
2025-11-16 0.126300 1.015075 3.923231 11.289709 26.400132 52.692982 97.994210
2025-11-23 0.100554 0.921420 3.765490 11.195473 26.733388 54.120893 101.755138